15 Iunie 2010

Top 10 countries that will lead the global recovery

Many middle-income emerging economies will become a whole new motor for the global economy, according to an AT Kearney study.

10. Thailand

Thailand had in 2008 a GDP per capita of $8,200 and a nominal GDP of $270 billion.

Bangkok Government said the economy has risen in the first quarter 2010 by 12%. For the whole year, Thailand projects a 3.5% increase.

World Bank has raised its GDP growth forecast for 2010 in East Asia and Pacific, the first tor recover from the global crisis to 8.7% from 7.8%.


9. Argentina

Argentina had a GDP per capita of $14,400 in 2010k, and a nominal GDP of $330 billion.

Argentina’s GDP could grow 7% in 2010, as the effects of the financial crisis have started to fade away. In 2009, the Gross Domestic Product increased by 0.9% in Q1-Q2 period 2010, with quarterly growth of 1.9% - 2.6%.



8. Iran

Before the onset of the financial crisis, Iran’s GDP per capita stood at $11,000, while the nominal GDO was $340 billion.

7. Taiwan

In 2008, Taiwan had a GDP per capita of $30,900 and a nominal GDP of $440 billion.

In the first quarter this year, Taiwan’s economy increased by 13.27% year-on-year, the steepest growth rate in 32 years.

The economic growth driven by exports and private investments has exceeded the 10.66% outlook and was the second successive quarter of growth after five quarters of economic contraction.


6. Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is among the world’s post-recession economic powerhouses. The country recorded a GDP per capita of $23,800 and a nominal GDP of $470 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s economy grew faster than estimated, buoyed by private sector performance.

Analysts expect Saudi Arabia’s GDP to grow this year by 4.2% despite the April decline.


5. Indonesia

In 2008, Indonesia was reporting a GDP per capita of $4,000 and a nominal GDP of $510 billion.

In 2009, the country’s economy increased by 4.5%, one of the three Asian recession-proof countries that posted growth in GDP.

Jakarta Government said it expects an economic growth of 5.8% this year, and 6.4% in 2011.

Indonesia’s economy will grow 6% in 2010 due to the improved investment climate and good fiscal and monetary policy management, International Monetary Fund said.


4. Poland

Poland had a GDP of $530 billion in 2008 and a GDP per capita of $17,500.

Poland’s economy, the only European country that dodged recession will rise 2.75% this year, and 3.25% in 2011, according to International Monetary Fund estimates.

In 2009, Poland recorded an economic growth of 1.7%, according to preliminary data.


3. Turkey

Turkey takes the third spot in the list of emerging countries to lead the economic recovery. The country had a nominal GDP in 2008 of $730 billion and purchasing power parity of 0.9.

Turkey’s GDP dropped 4.7% in 2009, but the country emerged from recession in the fourth quarter of the year, with 6% economic growth. Turkey’s economy could increase by 6% this year, more than Ankara officials’ estimates of 3.5%, and the country’s current account deficit could be partially covered.

Turkey has weathered recession with minimal risks, as no bank in the country went bust in the previous years.


2. South Korea

South Korea recorded a nominal GDP of $930 billion in 2008, and due to the decline in population, the GDP per capita reached $27,600.

Analysts expect the economic growth to remain positive in the second quarter, should exports and production keep the same growth rate.




1. Mexico

In 2008, Mexico’s GDP stood at $1,100 billion while the purchasing power parity was the highest of all the ten countries in the report. GDP per capita stood at $14,500.

Mexico’s economy improved in the first quarter this year, driven by external demand that encouraged exports, although production dropped quarter-on-quarter.

In the first quarter this year, Mexico’s GDP swelled 4.3% year-on-year, but contracted 0.35% quarter-on-quarter. Mexico authorities predict an annual economic growth of 5% after 6.5% contraction in 2009.




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