Erste Group has raised its 12-month target price for BRD-Groupe Societe Generale shares (BSE:BRD) by 15% to 16.6 lei and an upside potential of 12%. The bank rated BRD stocks “Accumulate”.
In view of a significant deterioration in credit quality, Erste Group predicts a 70% increase in net loan impairment charges. Net provisions are expected to total 995.6 million lei in 2009, 118% more than a year earlier.
The slightly higher net provisions should be more or less compensated for by further cost reductions, which resulted in a net profit of 660 million lei in third quarter 2009.
For the fourth quarter of 2009, Erste Group expects a net profit of 235 million lei, 25.2% below Q408 levels, and an annual profit of 895.3 million lei in 2009, down 20.7% from a year earlier, excluding gains from the disposal of Asiban.
BRD Groupe Societe Generale will make public its fourth-quarter figures on February 16, 2010.
Article comments "Erste: BRD stocks have an upside potential of 12%"
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